Commentary
We provide insights on key macroeconomic trends — monetary policy, labor trends and interest rate trends — that inform our investment process.

The US economic expansion rolls on
May 27, 2026
Underpinned by a solid job market, favorable financial conditions and robust profits, the US economic expansion rolls on.

Recent commentary

Recent economic data show the US economy remains resilient
Recent economic data show the US economy remains resilient

The longest government shutdown in history leads to weaker-than-expected economic expansion
Government shutdown leads to weaker-than-expected economic expansion.

We continue to expect the above-trend GDP growth the US economy showed in the second half of 2025 to persist in the coming months
We continue to expect the above-trend GDP growth the US economy showed in the second half of 2025 to persist in the coming months.

Despite only modest job growth in 2025, the US economy has remained notably resilient
The US economy has remained notably resilient.

The US economy remains on solid footing, resilient, expanding at a moderate pace
The US economy remains on solid footing, resilient, expanding at a moderate pace

It appears the US economy has remained solid, expanding at a modest pace Share this article
During a period in which many key federal statistical publications have been delayed, the US economy has remained solid, expanding at a modest pace.

